Richard Cincotta

Richard Cincotta is the demographer-in-residence at the Stimson Center in Washington, DC, a consultant on political demography at the Woodrow Wilson Center’s Environmental Change and Security Project, and a contributor to the National Intelligence Council’s strategic foresight efforts. Dr. Cincotta served as the Director of Demographic and Social Science Programs in the National Intelligence Council’s Long Range Analysis Unit (2006-09), a senior researcher at Population Action International (1996-2006), and an AAAS Diplomacy Fellow and WCPH Public Health Fellow in the Policy and Evaluation Division in USAID’s Office of Population and Reproductive Health (1992-96).

His current research focuses on the demographic and age-structural transitions, and he has published on their relationships to the politics of ethno-religious change, to the onset of civil conflict, to regime type and political stability, to natural resource dynamics, and to population policies. His publications on these topics appear in Foreign PolicyCurrent History, Nature and Science. Dr. Cincotta has lived and worked abroad for more than 10 years in Sub-Saharan Africa, East Asia, South Asia, North Africa, Western Europe, Australia, and Canada, including five years in field research positions in Morocco, India, and China. Prior to his PhD in population ecology (Colorado State University, 1986) and post-doctoral research in anthropology, he served in the US Navy in communications intelligence (1969-73).

Dr. Cincotta contributed to the National Intelligence Council’s prior global futuring exercise, Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World (2009) [on the web at], and to the Geneva Declaration Secretariat’s Global Burden of Armed Violence [on the web at:]. His latest article on the relationship between demography and liberal democracy appears in an edited volume entitled: “Political Demography: How Population Changes Are Reshaping International Security and National Politics” (available through Oxford University Press).

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